Defective Reasoning

Again and again, I’ve seen significant decisions made based on defective reasoning. One of the most common errors is the fallacy of the converse – the belief that if A leads to B, and B happened, then A must have happened.

Defective ReasoningThis fails to take account of all the other things that might have caused B. But many people don’t see this because these other explanations are beyond their cognitive horizon.

I’ll talk more about this in tomorrows’ issue of my weekly Technology That Fits newsletter – sign up here.

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